GUWAHATI, ASSAM — March 30, 2026 —
Genius30, an independent think-tank and data-analytics group, has officially released the comprehensive findings of its highly anticipated “Raijor Raai – The People’s Verdict” pre-poll survey. Leveraging a massive, tech-driven sample size of over 50,000+ verified respondents across all 126 assembly constituencies, the extensive data audit projects a decisive mandate for the BJP-led NDA alliance in the upcoming Assam elections.
A Tech-Driven Methodology
Unlike traditional political surveys that rely on small, manual field reporting, the Raijor Raai project was executed as a large-scale engineering operation. Spearheaded by a core group of 30 engineers, Genius30 utilized advanced telephonic polling and digital auditing infrastructure to capture raw, unfiltered sentiment directly from the grassroots.
By scaling the data collection to over 50,000 citizens across Upper, Lower, and Middle Assam, the team bypassed standard polling biases to ensure a highly accurate mathematical reflection of the state’s current political mood. The methodology heavily factored in shifting demographics, particularly the decisive youth and Gen Z voter blocks who are increasingly prioritizing economic stability, technological upskilling, and transparent governance over historical political rhetoric.
Key Findings of the Comprehensive Survey:
Seat Projections (126 Seats): The BJP is projected to emerge as the single largest party, securing between 70 to 79 seats. The Congress follows with a projected 24 to 29 seats. Regional allies AGP (8-9 seats) and BPF (7-8 seats) maintain crucial holds, pushing the NDA alliance comfortably past the 64-seat majority mark.
Vote Share: The data indicates a strong consolidation, with the BJP commanding an estimated 40.2% vote share, and the Congress capturing 36.8%.
Chief Ministerial Preference: Incumbent Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma remains the top choice for the state’s leadership, securing 37% of the public preference. Gaurav Gogoi of the Congress emerged as the principal challenger with 25% backing.
Top Government Achievements: When asked to identify the biggest successes of the current government, citizens overwhelmingly pointed to tangible, on-the-ground progress. Infrastructure and Road Connectivity took the top spot at 26%, followed closely by Transparent Govt Employment at 23%. Other key performance indicators included Clearing Encroachments (18%), Governance (17%), and Ease of Doing Business (16%).
“What this data clearly shows is a fundamental shift in how the Assamese electorate, particularly the younger generation, is making its choices,” stated Nitesh Pandey, Tech Entrepreneur and Co-lead of Genius30. “We are seeing a demographic that is highly focused on practical, day-to-day realities. They are actively backing narratives built around transparent recruitment, physical infrastructure, and assertive administrative leadership. This massive 50,000+ dataset confirms that the mandate is leaning heavily toward data-driven, delivery-focused governance.”
“By treating this statewide survey as an engineering challenge rather than just a media exercise, we’ve bypassed the noise to provide an unfiltered, mathematical reality of the ground situation,” added Rajat Agnihotri, Co-lead of Genius30.
About Genius30
Based in Guwahati, Genius30 is an independent collective of 30 engineers and data professionals dedicated to bringing technological transparency to political analytics and public policy. Combining extensive backgrounds in tech entrepreneurship, large-scale project development, and digital education, the group focuses on executing data-driven grassroots audits that capture the authentic voice of the people.
